Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.057433 0.068131 0.080139 0.094598 0.111517 0.130672 0.153984
2025-04-13 0.039209 0.052368 0.068839 0.090896 0.119576 0.155519 0.203885
2025-04-20 0.030611 0.044865 0.064289 0.092522 0.132315 0.186172 0.264324
2025-04-27 0.024721 0.039169 0.060302 0.093182 0.142698 0.214057 0.324136
2025-05-04 0.020482 0.034749 0.056950 0.093588 0.152011 0.240859 0.385251
2025-05-11 0.017499 0.031568 0.054708 0.094958 0.162470 0.270117 0.453245
2025-05-18 0.015509 0.029586 0.053929 0.098324 0.176245 0.305852 0.535477
2025-05-25 0.012905 0.025995 0.049761 0.095136 0.178329 0.322421 0.587800
2025-06-01 0.011218 0.023765 0.047593 0.095040 0.185575 0.348277 0.658662
2025-06-08 0.009680 0.021527 0.045016 0.093709 0.190221 0.369836 0.724076
2025-06-15 0.008776 0.020409 0.044409 0.096030 0.201959 0.405471 0.819135
2025-06-22 0.007687 0.018693 0.042309 0.094994 0.206869 0.428626 0.892898
2025-06-29 0.006619 0.016850 0.039703 0.092618 0.208949 0.446940 0.960276
2025-07-06 0.005645 0.015039 0.036881 0.089351 0.208723 0.460642 1.020137
2025-07-13 0.005141 0.014278 0.036310 0.091030 0.219431 0.498088 1.133416
2025-07-20 0.004639 0.013422 0.035371 0.091697 0.227921 0.531717 1.242248
2025-07-27 0.004185 0.012604 0.034389 0.092101 0.235824 0.564891 1.353676
2025-08-03 0.003831 0.011992 0.033826 0.093451 0.246132 0.604550 1.483916
2025-08-10 0.003602 0.011692 0.034024 0.096766 0.261667 0.657879 1.651226
2025-08-17 0.003135 0.010590 0.031891 0.093626 0.260553 0.671913 1.727745
2025-08-24 0.002839 0.009953 0.030938 0.093531 0.267268 0.705490 1.854770
2025-08-31 0.002537 0.009231 0.029621 0.092220 0.270577 0.731008 1.964696
2025-09-07 0.002378 0.008951 0.029562 0.094506 0.283948 0.783281 2.147138